US Constitutional Risk Daily
Cumulative Erosion
How much of the check system has been removed?
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Declines only when a check is verifiably restored.
Acute Risk Today
Is a constitutional breach happening right now?
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These two numbers answer different questions, and the gap between them is the point.
Cumulative erosion is the stock of structural damage: checks — court constraints,
agency independence, oversight — that have been durably removed or weakened, mostly through lawful
channels. Acute risk is today's events: confirmed actions in a two-day window that
decay within days, with trip-wire floors for catastrophic events (a defied court order, a cancelled
election). A quiet news day does not repair the stock.
Indicator severity levels: 0 = Green, 1 = Watch, 2 = Yellow, 3 = Orange, 4 = Red.
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Cumulative Erosion — Detail and Ledger
The acute score is a seismograph: confirmed events in a two-day window that decay
within days. This index is sea level: durable structural conditions — rulings in force,
statutes, executed orders, entrenched practices — that have removed or weakened constitutional checks,
plus long-memory pressure from sustained events. It declines only when a check is verifiably restored,
and it can be high on an otherwise quiet news day.
Structural Ledger
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Event Pressure (180-Day Memory)
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Structural condition ledger (... entries — the public audit trail)
Every entry is human-reviewed with linked evidence. Magnitude: 1 = norm abandoned, check legally intact · 2 = check weakened in a targeted scope · 3 = check survives only at executive discretion · 4 = check effectively eliminated. Reversed entries stay listed (struck through) as the record of checks that held.
| Condition | Mag | Status | Since | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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30-Day Acute Trend
Quick Metrics
Previous Day Delta
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Delta vs 7-Day Avg
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Feed Pull Success
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Confidence
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Domain Breakdown
| Domain | Weight | Avg Severity (0-4) | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
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Highest-Risk Signals Today
| Signal | Domain | Severity | Hits | Unique Publishers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Evidence Samples
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